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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

南极涛动和南极绕极波的年代际变化
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国家自然科学基金资助项目40575033,国家科技支撑计划课题2006BAB18B05


Interdecadal Change of the Antarctic Oscillation and the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave
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    摘要:

    用1951年1月~2002年12月共624个月的海平面气压、 温度和850 hPa西风的NCEP再分析资料, 分析定义了南极涛动指数 (简称AAOI) 和850 hPa的南极涛动西风指数 (简称Uaaoi), 并讨论了它们的长期变化趋势和年代际跃变及其对南极绕极波的影响。结果表明, AAOI和Uaaoi的变化非常相似, 两者的同期相关系数高达0.218 (624个月), 超过了99.9%信度检验。当AAOI为高指数时, Uaaoi也为高指数, 即西风增加; 当AAOI为低指数时, Uaaoi也为低指数, 即西风减弱。AAOI和Uaaoi都有明显的长期趋势, 倾向率分别为0.01915/10 a和0.009249/10 a。1972年是跃变点, 跃变前AAOI的年平均值为-3.9691 hPa; 跃变后为2.9107 hPa。而在60°S 附近, 跃变前年平均西风为-1.09 m/s, 跃变后为0.93 m/s, 二者差达2.02 m/s。它们的主要振荡周期为3~5年。对50°S~60°S平均纬圈的海平面气压 (sea level pressure, 简称SLP) 和温度 (624月) 作3~5年滤波, 它的经度时间剖面图表明: 近50多年来南极绕极波均为自西向东的行波, 绕南极一周跃变前约4.4年, 跃变后约3.6年。南半球的SLP和温度经3~5年滤波后, 它的EOF展开第一特征向量的空间型表明: 跃变前以3波振动为主, 跃变后以2波振动为主。

    Abstract:

    The Antarctic Oscillation Index (AAOI) and the westerly index of Antarctic oscillation (Uaaoi) are defined by using the NCEP data of sea level pressure, temperature and 850-hPa westerly wind from January 1951 to December 2002. Long-term trend, interdecadal jump and cycles of AAOI and Uaaoi as well as the effect on the Antarctic circumpolar wave are discussed. Main conclusions show that the relationship between AAOI and Uaaoi is significant with the correlation coefficient of 0.218, which exceeds 99.9% confidence level. While AAOI and Uaaoi are high, the westerly wind increases, vice versa. Long-term tendency exists in AAOI and Uaaoi with trend rate of 0.01915/10 a and 0.009249/10 a respectively. A distinctive jump point happened in 1972, before and after this year the average AAOI was -3.9691 hPa and 2.9107 hPa respectively, the average AAOI is increased by 6.88 hPa, the average westerly wind was -1.09 m/s and 0.93 m/s respectively. The sea level pressure and temperature along 50°S-60°S in 50 years show clear patterns of dominating eastward propagation with 4.4 years rounding a circle before the jump year and 3.6 years after the jump year in term of the time series by filter of 3-5 years. In the first principal component of EOF, wave number 3 and wave number 2 are dominating before and after the jump year, respectively.

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卞林根,林学椿.南极涛动和南极绕极波的年代际变化.大气科学,2009,33(2):251~260 BIAN Lingen, LIN Xuechun. Interdecadal Change of the Antarctic Oscillation and the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2009,33(2):251~260

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  • 在线发布日期: 2011-12-06
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