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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

LASG/IAP和BCC大气环流模式模拟的云辐射强迫之比较
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财政部/科技部公益类行业专项GYHY200706005, 国家科技支撑计划2007BAC29B03, 国家自然科学基金资助项目40890054、 40821092


A Comparison of Cloud Radiative Forcings Simulated by LASG/IAP and BCC Atmospheric General Circulation Models
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    摘要:

    通过与ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) 逐月辐射资料的比较, 本文从气候态和对ENSO响应的角度, 评估了国内的三个大气环流模式BCC AGCM、 IAP GAMIL和IAP SAMIL对云辐射强迫的模拟能力, 讨论了影响模拟结果不确定性的因素。分析表明, 三个模式均能较为合理地再现年平均长、 短波云辐射强迫及净云辐射强迫的空间分布型, 其与ISCCP资料年平均结果的空间相关系数, 均超过了1%水平的信度检验。定量比较表明, 除部分区域外, 模式模拟的云辐射强迫的强度与ISCCP资料相比存在显著差异, 尤以副热带大洋最为显著。三个模式模拟的云净辐射强迫在赤道外北太平洋、 热带东南和西南太平洋存在显著的偏差。分析表明, 造成上述模拟偏差的原因, 一是对流的模拟偏差, 二是云方案, 二者导致模式无法合理再现观测中的云量分布、 云垂直结构 (云高度、 云厚等) 和云光学属性, 最终导致云辐射强迫的模拟偏差。此外, 在年际变率方面, 模式基本模拟出ENSO期间云净辐射强迫 “东正西负” 的响应分布型, 但是BCC AGCM和IAP SAMIL在西太平洋的负响应偏强, 而IAP GAMIL的响应偏弱且中心位于赤道中太平洋。

    Abstract:

    Based on the radiation evidence from the monthly ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) data, the performances of three state-of-the-art Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), namely BCC AGCM, IAP SAMIL, and IAP GAMIL, in simulating the cloud radiative forcings (CRFs) are evaluated in terms of climatology and the response to ENSO. It shows that all of the three models can reasonably simulate the spatial patterns of annual mean long-wave and short-wave cloud radiative forcings and net cloud radiative forcing. The spatial pattern correlation coefficients between the model results and ISCCP data are all statistically significant at the 1% level. However, the differences between models results and ISCCP data in the magnitude of cloud radiative forcings are significant over most of the regions, especially over the subtropical oceans. In addition, there exist significant discrepancies in cloud radiative forcings over the off-equatorial central northern Pacific as well as over the southeastern and southwestern Pacific in the three models. Further analysis shows that the discrepancies in cloud radiative forcings are caused by unrealistic cloud fraction and the vertical structure of cloud which are determined by the convection bias and choice of cloud parameterizations. The spatial patterns of the responses of net cloud radiative forcing to ENSO are well reproduced by the three models, except that the magnitude of the negative response over the tropical western Pacific is overestimated (underestimated) by BCC AGCM and IAP SAMIL (IAP GAMIL), and the location of negative response in IAP GAMIL shifts westward to the tropical central Pacific.

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郭准,吴春强,周天军,等. LASG/IAP和BCC大气环流模式模拟的云辐射强迫之比较.大气科学,2011,35(4):739~752 GUO Zhun, WU Chunqiang, ZHOU Tianjun, et al. A Comparison of Cloud Radiative Forcings Simulated by LASG/IAP and BCC Atmospheric General Circulation Models. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2011,35(4):739~752

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  • 在线发布日期: 2011-12-06
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