双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

有云环境下卫星红外波段亮温资料直接同化的进展及挑战
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中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所

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广东省重点领域研发计划“台风大风灾害风险综合监测预警关键技术研发与示范”(2019B111101002),广东省科技厅公益研究与能力建设项目“海上丝绸之路高影响天气多元检测与资料融合分析技术研究”(2017B020218003)联合资助


Progresses and challenges of direct assimilation of cloud-affected satellite infrared radiances
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    摘要:

    摘要:云与高影响天气有着密切的联系,卫星红外波段提供了大量的云区的观测信息,然而云参数的初始误差以及云对辐射过程的非线性影响造成的观测算子模拟误差偏大,并且误差呈非高斯分布给云区卫星红外资料直接同化带来困难。文章针对有云环境下卫星红外波段亮温资料直接同化的关键技术问题,回顾和总结了近二十年来国内外在同化方法、辐射传输模式、控制变量、背景误差、云检测、观测误差设置、质量控制及偏差订正等方面的研究进展。已有成果表明卫星资料直接同化的趋势是在晴空区同化技术基础上进一步补充云雨的信息,完善相应的技术,从而实现“全天候”的卫星资料直接同化。文章指出云区卫星红外资料直接同化在如何构造与云参数相关的控制变量及其背景误差、如何消除云对观测和观测算子的非线性影响等方面面临挑战。随着观测技术、同化技术、模式技术的共同发展,卫星红外资料必然在数值预报领域发挥更大的作用。 关键词:有云环境;卫星红外波段亮温;同化

    Abstract:

    Abstract: Cloud is closely related to high impact weather. Satellite infrared radiances data provides a lot of information in cloudy area. However, the observation operator error caused by the initial cloud parameters errors and the nonlinear influence of cloud on radiation process is too large, and the error distribution is non Gaussian, which brings difficulties to the direct assimilation of satellite infrared data in cloudy conditions. Aiming at the key technical problems of direct assimilation of satellite infrared radiances data in cloudy conditions, this paper reviews and summarizes the research progress of assimilation methods, radiation transfer mode, control variables, background errors, cloud detection, observation errors setting and bias correction at home and abroad in recent 20 years. The results show that the trend of direct assimilation of satellite radiance data is to further supplement the cloud and rain information and improve the corresponding technology based on clear sky radiance assimilation technology, so as to realize the direct assimilation of satellite data under “all-weather” conditions. It is pointed out that the direct assimilation of satellite infrared radiances in cloudy conditions faces challenges in how to construct the control variables related to cloud parameters and their background errors, and how to eliminate the nonlinear influence of cloud on observation and observation operators. With the common development of observation technology, assimilation technology and model technology, satellite infrared radiances data will inevitably play a greater role in the field of numerical weather prediction. Key Words: cloudy condition;satellite infrared radiances; assimilation

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-15
  • 最后修改日期:2022-01-04
  • 录用日期:2022-02-14
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-04-26
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