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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

土壤水力参数对全球中期数值天气预报系统的影响
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国防科技大学

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国家自然科学基金41605004


Influence of soil hydraulic parameters on global medium-range numerical weather forecast system
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国防科技大学

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    摘要:

    土壤湿度是控制陆-气界面潜热和感热通量分配的关键要素之一,而且由于其具有一定的记忆特性,可以对多种时空尺度的天气气候过程产生重要影响。在数值模式中,土壤水力参数的不确定性是导致土壤湿度模拟结果不确定性的主要原因之一。本文基于银河全球大气谱模式(YHGSM),引入了VG(van Genuchten)土壤水分特征曲线模型,并探讨了模型水力参数的两种不同取值方案对土壤湿度离线模拟以及全球中期数值天气预报的影响。其中,土壤水力参数所需要的土壤类型数据来源于GSDE(Global Soil Dataset for ESMs)全球土壤数据集。陆面模块的离线试验结果表明,除了冻土和有机土壤的模拟偏差较大外,YHGSM的陆面模块对全球大部分地区土壤湿度的模拟能力较好,模拟精度与ERA5土壤湿度再分析产品的精度近似。土壤水力参数的不同取值方案对土壤湿度有一定影响,其影响程度与土壤类型和局地气候条件密切相关,粗结构土壤对模型参数的敏感性更强。从全球中期数值预报结果来看,土壤水力参数通过改变土壤湿度,不仅对近地层温、湿度的短期预报结果产生重要影响,而且可以导致预报系统积分6天后的大尺度环流场发生显著变化。因此,对于全球中期数值预报系统而言,优化土壤水力参数、提高土壤湿度模拟能力是非常重要的。

    Abstract:

    Soil moisture is one of the key factors to control the distribution of latent and sensible heat flux at the interface of land surface and atmosphere, which can have impacts both on weather and climate processes on various temporal and spatial scales, because of its certain memory properties. In the numerical model, the uncertainty of soil hydraulic parameters is one of the main reasons for the uncertainty of soil moisture simulations. Based on the Yin He Global Spectral Model (YHGSM), this paper introduces the VG (van Genuchten) soil water retention curve model, and discusses the influence of two different sets of soil hydraulic parameters on the offline simulation of soil moisture and the global medium-range numerical weather forecast. The soil type information needed for soil hydraulic parameters comes from the Global Soil Dataset for ESMs (GSDE). The offline results show that, except for the large simulation deviation of permafrost and organic soil, the land surface module of YHGSM has a good ability to simulate soil moisture in most parts of the world, and the simulation accuracy is similar to that of ERA5 soil moisture reanalysis products. Soil hydraulic parameters have a certain influence on soil moisture, and that the influence strength is closely related to soil types and local climatic conditions, and coarse structure soil is more sensitive to model parameters. The results of the global medium-range numerical forecast experiments indicate that, by changing the soil moisture, soil hydraulic parameters not only have impacts on the short-term forecasting of near surface temperature and humidity, but also lead to significant changes in the large-scale circulation after 6-days forecast. Therefore, for the global medium-range numerical forecasting system, it is very important to optimize soil hydraulic parameters and improve the ability of soil moisture simulation.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-19
  • 最后修改日期:2022-09-01
  • 录用日期:2022-09-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-05
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