双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

大西洋多年代际振荡对东亚气候影响的综述
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中国科学院大气物理研究所

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Impacts of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the East Asian Climate: A Review
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    摘要:

    本文综述了近年来有关大西洋多年代际振荡(AMO)及其对东亚气候影响的研究进展,主要包括AMO的形成机制与指数定义、AMO对东亚夏季和冬季气候的影响、AMO与其他大洋的协同作用。目前,关于AMO的形成机制仍有不同意见,传统观点认为AMO是气候系统内部过程尤其是大西洋经向翻转流造成的,但近期有工作指出AMO是气溶胶、火山喷发等外强迫驱动产生或是海洋对大气随机强迫的一种响应。AMO可以通过三种途径调制东亚夏季气候,当AMO处于正位相时,东亚夏季风加强、降水增多、气温升高,反之亦然。同时,AMO正位相有利于东亚冬季风偏强,欧亚大陆中纬度及中国北方偏冷;负位相时则大体相反。鉴于AMO的重要作用,加深理解AMO形成机制及其对东亚气候影响有益于提升东亚气候的年代际预测水平。

    Abstract:

    We have reviewed recent researches associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and its influences on East Asian climate. Specifically, we focus on the drivers, index definitions, impacts on East Asian summer and winter climates of the AMO as well as the combined effects of the AMO and other Oceans. Until now, the mechanisms of the AMO are still under debate. The AMO is considered to be caused by the multidecadal Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability, the external forcings (e.g., aerosols) or the stochastic atmospheric forcing. The positive phase of the AMO can strengthen the East Asian summer monsoon and increase the summer precipitation and temperature over East Asia through three ways, and vice versa. Meanwhile, under the positive AMO phase, the East Asian winter monsoon system is strong and the mid-latitude Eurasian continent and northern China are cold, and vice versa. Given the importance of AMO, further understanding the drivers of AMO and its climatic impacts on East Asian climate is conducive to improving decadal to interdecadal predictions of East Asian climate.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-05-13
  • 最后修改日期:2023-07-28
  • 录用日期:2023-08-07
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-10-10
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