双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

北半球夏季急流遥相关:进展与展望
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中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心

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Waveguide teleconnections in boreal summer: Progress and perspective
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    摘要:

    急流遥相关是沿急流波导传播的准静止行星尺度波列,在大气环流的维持和演变中有重要作用,其异常活动常伴随极端天气气候事件的发生。研究急流遥相关在不同时间尺度的变异特征和机理不仅可以加深对大气环流变化规律的理解,还可以为相应时间尺度上的天气预报、气候预测乃至气候预估提供科学依据。根据波导的性质,北半球夏季的急流波导可以分为以正压效应为主要维持机制的副热带急流波导和以斜压效应为维持机制的极锋急流波导。本文聚焦夏季急流遥相关活动最为活跃的欧亚大陆地区,在回顾急流遥相关理论的基础上,简要总结了近年来关于夏季副热带急流遥相关和极锋急流遥相关的形成条件、动力机制、气候影响和未来变化的研究进展,并展望了一些未来值得继续深入研究的问题。

    Abstract:

    Waveguide teleconnections are quasi-stationary planetary waves propagating along the jet stream waveguide. They play an essential role in the maintenance and evolution of atmospheric circulation, and their abnormal activities are often associated with extreme weather and climate events. Studying the variation and mechanism of waveguide teleconnections at different timescales can not only deepen our understanding of the dynamics of atmospheric circulation but also serve as a scientific basis for weather forecasting, climate prediction, and even climate projection at corresponding timescales. According to the dynamical property of the jet stream waveguide, the atmospheric waveguide can be divided into the subtropical jet waveguide, which is maintained essentially by the barotropic effect, and the polar front jet waveguide, which is primarily maintained by the baroclinic effect. This paper focuses on the waveguide teleconnections in the boreal summer over the Eurasian region, when and where waveguide teleconnections are the most active. It first reviews the history and theory of waveguide teleconnection and then summarizes some recent advances in waveguide teleconnections along the subtropical jet and polar front jet, including their formation conditions, dynamic mechanisms, climate impacts, and future changes. Finally, it discusses some possible issues that deserve future investigation.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-20
  • 最后修改日期:2023-11-09
  • 录用日期:2023-11-20
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-24
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