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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

四川盆地低涡的月际变化及其日降水分布统计特征
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国家自然科学基金重大研究计划重点支持项目91337215,国家自然科学基金项目41275051,公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201006053、国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目2012CB417202


Statistical Characteristics of the Inter-monthly Variation of the Sichuan Basin Vortex and the Distribution of Daily Precipitation
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    摘要:

    利用ERA-interim再分析资料和全国824个气象基准站的日降水资料,统计分析了1983年1月1日~2012年12月31日发生在四川盆地的低涡天气过程及其降水特征,结果表明:盆地涡初生位置主要位于盆地的西南部和东北部,盆地涡夏季出现最多,冬季出现最少,其中初生位置位于盆地西南部的低涡7月出现最多,12月和1月出现最少;位于东北部的低涡6月出现最多,1月出现最少;盆地涡具有明显的日变化,西南型盆地涡3~10月夜晚发生概率均大于白天,其他月份低涡夜发性不明显,而东北型盆地涡只在5~9月期间夜晚发生概率大于白天,其他月份低涡夜发性不明显;盆地涡生命史与对流程度具有相关性,对流发展有利于盆地涡长时间维持,然而,夏季西南型盆地涡即使对流没向上发展也能长时间维持;盆地涡夏季移出最多,尤其以7、8月最明显,冬季移出最少,7月前以偏东路径为主,7月后以东北路径为主;盆地涡频数的月际变化与川西高原西南涡源地的风场扰动移出有密切联系,九龙地区夏季风场扰动移出活跃,冬季移出不活跃。小金地区春季风场扰动移出活跃,冬季移出不活跃。九龙地区风场扰动移出对盆地涡频数的月际变化贡献明显,小金地区风场扰动移出对盆地涡频数的月际变化贡献不明显;夏半年(5~10月)西南型盆地涡和东北型盆地涡引起的日降水区域分布的月际变化特征不同,前者的日降水最大值中心随月份先由盆地东北部向西南部移动,之后再由盆地西南部向东北部折回,后者的日降水最大值中心会一直稳定维持在盆地的东北部达州地区。东北型盆地涡虽然出现频次低,但各月的日降水强度要远大于西南型盆地涡。

    Abstract:

    Based on ERA-interim reanalysis data and the daily meteorological precipitation data from 824 observation stations in China, we quantify and analyze the weather processes and the characteristics of precipitation contributed by the Sichuan Basin vortex during 1 January 1983 to 31 December 2012. The results suggest that the vortex usually occurs in the southwest or the northeast of the Sichuan Basin, which are referred to as southwest-type and northeast-type vortices, respectively. The vortex occurs most frequently in summer and least frequently in winter. The southwest-type vortex occurs most frequently in July and least frequently in January and December, while the northeast-type occurs most frequently in June and least frequently in January. The frequency of the vortex varies significantly in terms of its timing throughout the day; the southwest-type occurs more frequently at night than during daytime from March to October, while the northeast-type has the same pattern but from April to September. There is a significant correlation between the lifespan of the vortex and its convection; however, the southwest-type is still able to maintain even if the convection is not reinforced. The vortex moves out of the Sichuan Basin most frequently in summer and least frequently in winter; moreover, it advances on an eastward path before July and a northeastward path after July. There is a significant correlation between the frequency of the vortex and wind disturbance in the cradle land of the southwest-type vortex; the wind disturbance in the Jiulong region moves out of the cradle land actively in summer but less actively in winter, while in the Xiaojin region it moves out of the cradle land actively in spring and less actively in winter. The wind disturbance in the Jiulong region contributes more to the frequency of the vortex than it does in the Xiaojin region. The daily precipitation distribution contributed by each type is different during May to October; the maximum precipitation area of the northeast-type remains stationary while the southwest-type moves regularly. Although the northeast-type occurs less frequently, it brings more daily precipitation than the southwest-type.

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李超,李跃清,蒋兴文.四川盆地低涡的月际变化及其日降水分布统计特征.大气科学,2015,39(6):1191~1203 LI Chao, LI Yueqing, JIANG Xingwen. Statistical Characteristics of the Inter-monthly Variation of the Sichuan Basin Vortex and the Distribution of Daily Precipitation. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2015,39(6):1191~1203

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  • 收稿日期:2014-09-20
  • 最后修改日期:2015-02-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-11-12
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