双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

雅鲁藏布江流域夏季降水的年际变化及其原因
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目41125017、41305072、41023002,公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201506012


Interannual Variability and the Underlying Mechanism of Summer Precipitation over the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    本文通过多套观测与再分析降水资料的比较,分析了雅鲁藏布江流域夏季降水的特征,从水汽含量与水汽输送的角度检验了雅鲁藏布江水汽通道的特点,研究了流域夏季降水的年际变化及其原因。分析表明:(1)该流域夏季降水大值位于雅鲁藏布江出海口至大峡谷一带,观测中流域平均降水可达5.8 mm d-1。不同资料表现的降水空间分布一致,但再分析降水普遍强于观测,平均为观测的2倍左右。(2)该流域夏季的水汽主要来自印度洋和孟加拉湾的偏南暖湿水汽输送,自孟加拉湾出海口沿布拉马普特拉河上溯至大峡谷,即雅鲁藏布江水汽通道。水汽收支诊断表明,夏季流域南部(即水汽通道所在处)是水汽辐合中心,流域平均的辐合约9.5 mm d-1,主要来自风场辐合与地形坡度的贡献。(3)不同再分析资料表现的流域降水和水汽分布特征总体一致,但量值差异较大。NCEP(美国国家环境预报中心)气候预报系统再分析资料CFSR、日本气象厅再分析资料JRA-25较欧洲中期天气预报中心再分析ERA-Interim资料更适于研究该流域(青藏高原东南部)的水汽特征,因为后者给出的流域降水和水汽偏强。(4)近30年该流域夏季降水无显著趋势,以年际变率为主。年际异常的水汽辐合(约为气候态的35.4%)源自异常西南风导致的局地水汽辐合(纬向、经向辐合分别贡献了16.5%、83.5%),地形作用很小。流域夏季降水的年际变化是由印度夏季风活动导致的异常水汽输送造成的,其关键系统是印度季风区北部的异常气旋(反气旋)式水汽输送。

    Abstract:

    Based on multiple precipitation and reanalysis datasets, the characteristics of summer precipitation and the associated water vapor transport over the Yarlung Zangbo River basin are examined, focusing mainly on the interannual variability and the underlying mechanism. Results show that: (1) The maximum climatological summer precipitation is seen along the Brahmaputra River in the lower reaches of the valley, which is reasonably reproduced in different datasets. The summer precipitation averaged over the basin is 5.8 mm d-1 in observations, whereas it is doubled in reanalysis datasets. (2) The climatological water vapor transports are mainly from the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal along the Brahmaputra River to Yarlung Zangbu Grand Canyon. The basin is a moisture sink in summer, with a net moisture convergence of 9.5 mm d-1, mainly caused by wind convergence and orography. (3) Different reanalysis datasets can capture the basic characteristics of precipitation and moisture transport, but differ in magnitudes. CFSR (NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis) and JRA-25 (Japanese 25-year Reanalysis) are more reasonable than ERA-Interim (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis) for precipitation and moisture research over the basin, because of the larger than observed precipitation and moisture convergence in the latter. (4) During 1979-2007, the summer precipitation over the basin exhibits strong interannual variability, with no significant long-term trend. The interannual variability of summer precipitation over the basin is dominated by the cyclonic/anticyclonic water vapor transport over the northern Indian subcontinent generated by anomalous Indian summer monsoon activity. Anomalous southwesterly flow leads to excessive local moisture convergence, of which the meridional wind convergence contributes 83.5%. Different from the climatology, orography contributes little to interannual variability.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

张文霞,张丽霞,周天军.雅鲁藏布江流域夏季降水的年际变化及其原因.大气科学,2016,40(5):965~980 ZHANG Wenxia, ZHANG Lixia, ZHOU Tianjun. Interannual Variability and the Underlying Mechanism of Summer Precipitation over the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2016,40(5):965~980

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2015-05-26
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-09-24
  • 出版日期: