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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

耦合模式FGOALS_s 模拟的亚澳季风年际变率及ENSO
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国家自然科学基金资助项目40628006、40523001、40625014,国家重点基础研究发展规划项目2006CB403603


Interannual Variability of the Asian-Australian Monsoon and ENSO Simulated by an Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Model
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    摘要:

    本文评估了中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室 (LASG/IAP) 新一代耦合气候模式FGOALS_s对亚澳季风和ENSO的模拟。结果表明, FGOALS_s可以模拟出亚澳季风的主要气候态特征。FGOALS_s模拟的ENSO事件振幅为观测值的70%, 同时它合理再现了ENSO周期的非规则性。FGOALS_s可以定性模拟出ENSO的主要空间特征。当赤道东太平洋SST升高时, 印度洋和西太平洋海表面气压升高, 而东太平洋海表面气压降低。FGOALS_s的主要缺陷在于模拟的ENSO峰值多出现在春季和夏季。与ENSO振幅偏小相反, FGOALS_s模拟的亚澳季风年际变率振幅大于观测。但是观测中亚澳季风年际变率与ENSO暖位相的显著负相关关系, 在模式中没有得到合理再现, 原因部分可归之于耦合模式在ENSO锁相模拟上的缺陷。由于模式模拟的ENSO峰值出现在北半球春季和夏季, Walker环流异常下沉支移动到西北太平洋, 其激发出的异常反气旋位置较之观测要偏东, 导致印度季风降水和El Niño的负相关关系不显著; 在北半球冬季, 由于模式中的赤道东太平洋SST暖异常较弱, 亚澳季风响应也偏弱。此外, 由于赤道东太平洋SST异常向西伸展, 观测中位于澳洲季风区的辐散中心向西偏移, 最终导致模式中澳洲季风降水与ENSO的负相关同样不显著。

    Abstract:

    This work assesses the performance of the new generation of LASG/IAP coupled climate system model named FGOALS_s in simulating the relationship between the Asian-Australian monsoon (AAM) and ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation). Compared with the observations, FGOALS_s can simulate main characteristics of climatology of AAM. The amplitude of ENSO simulated by FGOALS_s is about 70% of that in observations. The FGOALS_s model reasonably reproduces the irregularity of ENSO period. Main features of ENSO are reasonably reproduced in FGOALS_s model, i.e., when SST in the Niño3 region is higher than normal, the sea surface pressure is higher than normal in the warm pool, but lower in the eastern Pacific. Phase locking of ENSO reproduced by FGOALS_s is in boreal spring or summer. This is the main deficiency of the model. The amplitude of interannual variability of AAM is larger than that in the observation. FGOALS_s fails in simulating the negative correlation between AAM indexes and contemporary Niño3 index, which may be caused by wrong phase locking of ENSO. When El Niño events reach peaks in boreal spring or summer, anomalous subsidence of Walker circulation moves eastward. An anomalous anticyclone stimulated by the anomalous subsidence is located to the east of that in the observation. As a result, the negative correlation between Indian monsoon rainfall and ENSO is not significant. During boreal winter, SST anomalies over the tropical eastern Pacific are weaker than those in observations, so AAM response is also weak. On the other hand, the divergent center, which is located over the Australian monsoon region in the observation, shifts westward in the model, because SST anomalies in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific extend westward, resulting in an insignificant negative correlation between the Australian monsoon rainfall and ENSO in the model. This analysis has provided a guide for the future improvement of the coupled model.

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吴波,周天军,Tim Li, et al.耦合模式FGOALS_s 模拟的亚澳季风年际变率及ENSO.大气科学,2009,33(2):285~299 WU Bo, ZHOU Tianjun, Tim LI. Interannual Variability of the Asian-Australian Monsoon and ENSO Simulated by an Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Model. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2009,33(2):285~299

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  • 在线发布日期: 2011-12-06
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