双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

北疆冬季持续性极端低温事件的延伸期环流异常特征
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1.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所;2.南京信息工程大学

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国家重点基础研究发展计划


Extended period circulation anomalies of the Persistent Extreme Cold Events in northern Xinjiang
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Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    利用1951~2019年国家气候中心逐日站点数据和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了冬季新疆北部持续性极端低温事件(PECE)频次的时空分布特征,并探讨了平流层与对流层在事件发生发展过程中的相互作用过程。分析表明:年代际尺度上,北疆PECE在20世纪60年代发生频次最多,此后逐渐减少,表明北疆区域发生该事件的概率在降低。空间分布上,无论是极端低温频次还是冷空气强度,极值中心皆在额尔齐斯河流域一线。北疆PECE发展过程中,平、对流层环流皆发生了阶段性的调整。首先在新地岛有弱脊生成,对流层行星1波异常上传,此后平流层I区极涡开始了由强到弱的转变(欧亚弱极涡型)。随后平流层极涡强度有所恢复并维持,对流层行星波上传受到抑制,在欧亚出现异常向下反射,对流层极涡开始表现出强度减弱,面积增大且持续南压态势,冷空气持续向南输送,来自北冰洋的冷空气在乌拉尔山高压脊前堆积,有利于大型斜脊加强并维持,地面冷空气在中西伯利亚地区形成堆积态势,随后对流层大型横槽斜脊引导冷空气南下,地面西伯利亚高压发展强盛向南爆发,3日后冷空气影响北疆地区。

    Abstract:

    Using the daily station observational data from the National Climate Center and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during 1951-2019, this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial distribution of the persistent extremely cold events (PECE) in northern Xinjiang and examines the interaction between stratosphere and troposphere during the occurrence and development of PECE events. The results show that on the interdecadal scale, the frequency of PECE in northern Xinjiang peaked in the 1960s, and gradually decreased since that time, means that the frequency of thePECE in northern Xinjiang is decreasing. In terms of spatial distribution, the center of the extreme value of both the frequency of PECE and the intensity of cold air locates along the Irtysh River Basin. During this period, both the stratospheric and tropospheric circulations have adjusted. First, a weak ridge was formed in Novaya Zemlya, leading to the upward propagation of the tropospheric planetary wave 1. After that, the stratospheric polar vortex over the Eurasian sector weakens from strong to weak state. Although the stratospheric polar vortex recovered and maintained its strength later, the upward propagation of tropospheric planetary wave was suppressed. Anomalously downward reflections of the tropospheric planetary wave occurred in Europe and Asia. The tropospheric polar vortex thus weakened, increased in area and move southward, causing a concurrent southward cold air. The cold air from the Arctic accumulates in front of the Ural High ridge, which is conducive to the strengthening and maintenance of the large inclined ridge. Meanwhile, the cold air at the surface forms an accumulation in the Central Siberia. Finally, accompanied by the strongly developed Siberian high pressure, the large tropospheric trough and inclined ridge lead the cold air to the south, which affected northern Xinjiang three days later.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-08
  • 最后修改日期:2022-12-26
  • 录用日期:2022-12-28
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-07
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