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ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

雷达资料循环同化对4·30南通雷暴大风模拟的影响研究
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作者单位:

1.南京信息工程大学;2.中科院大气物理研究所

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基金项目:

国家重点研究开发项目2018YFC1506801、河北省技术创新引导计划项目19975414D


Influence of radar data cycling assimilation on thunderstorm gale simulation in nantong at 4.30
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Affiliation:

The Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    基于多普勒天气雷达资料、ERA5再分析资料与地面自动站观测资料,利用WRF(The Weather Research and Forecasting)模式、雷达径向风质控及GSI循环同化对2021年4月30日江苏南通的一次雷暴大风过程进行数值模拟研究,对比分析不同试验方案模拟的雷达反射率、风场与热动力的时空演变和结构特征。结果表明:逐30min循环同化的Exp3方案较未同化和非临近循环同化方案模拟效果有较好提升,表明循环同化和增加频次有效改善了初始场;UNRAVEL退模糊算法质控有效的消除速度模糊,退模糊处理雷达资料后循环同化方案(Exp4)对此次雷暴大风的雷达反射率和地面风场模拟结果有显著调整,其相应特征和演变趋势与观测基本一致,表明UNRAVEL退模糊质控后循环同化更好的改善了初始场;从热动力场结果来看,Exp4方案动热力结构改善较明显,上层辐散下层辐合,存在“冷-暖-冷”的热动力结构,伴随着强烈上升运动、北高南低的气压分布和强垂直风切变,有助于下沉气流将中高层的水平动量向近地面底层传递,从而激发此次雷暴大风。

    Abstract:

    Based on Doppler weather radar data, ERA5 reanalysis data and ground automatic station observation data, WRF (The Weather Research and Forecasting) model, radar radial wind quality control and GSI cycling assimilation are used to conduct numerical simulation research on a thunderstorm gale process in Nantong, Jiangsu Province on April 30, 2021, and compare and analyze the spatial-temporal evolution and structural characteristics of radar reflectivity, wind field and thermal dynamics simulated by different test schemes. The results show that the cycling assimilation scheme (Exp3) with assimilation intervals of 30 minutes has significantly improved the simulation results compared to the non-assimilated and non-adjacent cycling assimilation scheme, indicating that cycling assimilation and increasing the frequency effectively improve the initial field. The UNRAVEL dealiasing algorithm effectively removes velocity ambiguities and improves the initial field in the cycling assimilation scheme (Exp4) after processing radar data with dealiasing, leading to significant adjustments in the simulated radar reflectivity and surface wind fields for this thunderstorm wind event.The corresponding features and evolving trends are consistent with observations, demonstrating that the cycling assimilation scheme with UNRAVEL dealiasing is more effective in improving the initial field. From the results of the thermodynamic field, the dynamic and thermal structure of Exp4 scheme is improved more obviously, with upper-level divergence and lower-level convergence, and a "cold-warm-cold" thermodynamic structure. This structure is accompanied by strong upward motion, a north-high/south-low pressure distribution, and strong vertical wind shear, which helps to transfer horizontal momentum from the mid-high level to the near-surface layer through the sinking airflow, thereby triggering this thunderstorm wind event.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-06-28
  • 最后修改日期:2023-02-27
  • 录用日期:2023-03-03
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-24
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