双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

2020年夏季超长梅雨过程中不同湿静力能大气的质量收支分析
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1.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院/气象灾害教育部重点实验室 KLME / 气象与环境联合研究中心ILCEC / 气象灾害预报预警与评估省部共建协同创新中心 CIC–FEMD;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所;3.加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校

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国家重点研发计划资助 2019YFC1510201,江苏省自然科学基金资助项目(项目编号:BK20211288)


Air mass budget at iso-moist-static-energy levels during the super long-lasting Meiyu in summer 2020
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Affiliation:

1.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster,Ministry of Education KLME/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change ILCEC/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters CIC–FEMD / Institute for Climate and Application Research ICAR,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing;2.University of California,Los Angeles,US;3.ICCES,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,CAS,Beijing

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    摘要:

    本文运用欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)1980–2020年ERA5再分析数据集,从等湿静力能(MSE)大气质量环流的角度研究了2020年夏季超长梅雨期间各等MSE层大气质量和质量通量的特征及其与降水的关系。结果表明,在2020年超长梅雨过程中,从热带到中纬度梅雨区大气普遍向更高的等湿静力能层抬升。345–350KJ/335–340KJ等MSE层的质量异常增多/减少最为显著且与区域降水呈显著的同期正/负相关,因此335–350KJ是2020年梅雨季的关键MSE变化范围。来自热带印度洋和热带西太平洋的高能空气向梅雨区汇聚是此次梅雨降水异常的重要原因,而局地静力不稳定性并无显著偏强异常。梅雨区345–350KJ/340–345KJ等MSE层大气质量日变化由绝热质量通量异常主导,进一步发现这两层的绝热质量通量异常超前降水1–2天时两者的正/负相关性最好。在梅雨季的不同阶段,强降水前期等MSE绝热质量通量异常特征及其经纬向分量的相对重要性有所不同。在梅雨季初期,强降水前一天梅雨区345–350KJ等MSE层质量收支异常偏多,主要由经向质量通量异常贡献;在梅雨季末期,强降水前两天梅雨区340–345KJ层质量收支异常偏少,主要由纬向质量通量异常贡献。上述等MSE质量环流异常信号可以作为出入梅时间及其梅雨强度的前兆信号之一。

    Abstract:

    Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis dataset from 1980 to 2020, the iso-Moist Static Energy (iso-MSE) mass circulation analysis is conducted to investigate the characteristics of air mass and mass fluxes at various iso-MSE levels and their relationship with precipitation during the 2020 super long-lasting Meiyu. Results show that during the super long-lasting Meiyu season in 2020, air mass generally rose to higher iso-MSE levels from the tropics to the midlatitudes. The most remarkable mass gain/loss of air was found in the iso-MSE layer of 345–350KJ/335–340KJ. Significant positive/negative simultaneous correlations between air mass anomalies in the iso-MSE layer of 345–350KJ/335–340KJ and the regional-averaged precipitation anomalies over the Meiyu region has also been found, indicating that the MSE changes in the range of 335–350KJ are critical to the Meiyu season. The convergence of high energy air from tropical Indian Ocean and tropical western Pacific to the Meiyu region is an important contributor to the abnormal Meiyu, while abnormally strong local statistic instability was not found. The adiabatic mass flux anomalies in the 340–345KJ/345–350KJ layer over the Meiyu region, which dominantly resulted in daily changes of iso-MSE mass, are negatively/positively correlated with the precipitation at a lead time of 1–2 days. The features of iso-MSE mass flux anomalies and the relative importance of its meridional and zonal components in the period before heavy precipitation vary at different stages of Meiyu season. Particularly, near the onset of the Meiyu season, anomalous mass gain with the MSE of 345–350KJ in the Meiyu region was mainly contributed from the anomalous meridional mass flux, which preceded the heavy precipitation by 1 day. At the end of the Meiyu season, anomalous mass loss with the MSE of 340–345KJ was mainly contributed from the anomalous zonal mass flux around 2 days prior to the variation of precipitation. Such anomalous signals in the iso-MSE mass circulation can be potentially useful precursors for the onset/end date of Meiyu season from the perspective of moist static energy.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-08-15
  • 最后修改日期:2022-11-11
  • 录用日期:2023-03-29
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-30
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