双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

三大洋海温异常对2022年2月中国南方持续低温雨雪的影响分析
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1.绍兴市气象台;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所;3.南京信息工程大学

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国家自然科学基金


The impact of three Oceans on the cold, rainy and snowy February over southern China in 2022
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Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    2022年2月,中国南方出现持续低温雨雪天气:区域平均降水量126.6毫米,较多年(1981~2020年)平均(63.4毫米)偏多99.7%;日最低气温5.1°C,较多年平均偏低2.6°C。分析表明,700 hPa到925 hPa异常强的南方经向风垂直切变是2月持续低温雨雪期间的关键环流特征。经向风垂直切变与三大洋的海温异常均有联系:在赤道中东太平洋海温偏冷的背景下,热带西太平洋和北太平洋中部海温偏暖可导致东亚槽加深和对流层低层到近地面出现偏北风异常;北大西洋中部海温偏暖可通过西欧—东亚沿岸的北支Rossby波列加强乌拉尔山高压脊和东亚槽,使得西伯利亚高压和中国南方低层偏北风增强;东南印度洋海温偏暖有利于南支槽加深和西北太平洋异常反气旋加强,对流层中层偏南风加强。海温对环流的影响有明显季内变化,北太平洋中部和北大西洋中部海温与西伯利亚高压仅在2月显著相关,有利于2月气温偏低;东南印度洋海温与1月和2月的南支槽显著相关,与2月西北太平洋异常反气旋显著相关,中国南方地区降水从1月中旬起增多可能与该海域海温持续偏暖有关。因此,上述三个海区的海温异常或与2021/2022年冬季暖干到冷湿的季内转折,以及2022年2月持续低温雨雪有关。

    Abstract:

    In February 2022, the southern China experienced persistent cold, rainy and snowy weather. The regional mean accumulated precipitation were 126.6 mm, 99.7% more than multi-year (1981~2020) average (63.4 mm), and the daily minimum temperature was 5.1°C, 2.6°C lower than the multi-year average. The analysis shows that particularly strong meridional wind vertical shear over southern China between 700 hPa and 925 hPa is a key circulation feature in February 2022. The related SST anomalies with the meridional wind vertical shear are analyzed. The results are as follows: Under the background of La Ni?a, the warming of SST over the tropical western Pacific and central North Pacific is beneficial to the deepening of the East Asian trough and northerly wind anomalies in the lower troposphere over southern China. The warming of SST over the central North Atlantic Ocean could reinforce the Ural Ridge and East Asia Trough through the Rossby wave train along the Western Europe-East Asia coast; strengthen the Siberian High and northerly winds in the lower troposphere over southern China. The warming of SST in the southeast Indian Ocean is conducive to the strengthened southern branch trough and western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone, which lead to the stronger southerly winds in the middle troposphere over southern China. The impact of SST has sub-seasonal difference. The SST over the central North Pacific and the central North Atlantic are significantly related to the Siberian High in February, which is conducive to the lower temperature in February. The SST over the southern Indian Ocean is significantly correlated with the southern branch trough in January and February, and western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone in February. The increase of precipitation in southern China from mid-January may be related to the persistent warming of SST in this area. Therefore, the SST anomalies in the above regions may be related to the sub-seasonal reversal from warm and dry to cold and wet in the winter of 2021/2022, and the persistent cold, rainy and snowy weather in February, 2022.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-12-21
  • 最后修改日期:2023-03-03
  • 录用日期:2023-12-08
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-11
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