双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

2020年“6·26”冕宁暴雨降水物理过程模拟诊断研究
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作者单位:

1.大气物理研究所;2.北京城市气象研究院,北京 100089

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中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)XDA23090101


Simulation and Diagnosis of the Physical Process for the Heavy Rainfall Case in Mianning on 26 June 2020
Author:
Affiliation:

1.IAP;2.Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration,

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    摘要:

    利用WRF模式,借助三维降水诊断方程和降水效率定义,针对2020年6月26日四川冕宁一次突发性暴雨过程开展高分辨率数值模拟诊断研究,从不同强度降水的垂直动力结构、水凝物分布及各种宏微观过程对降水的贡献等角度进行对比分析,进一步揭示复杂地形区强降水过程中与水物质(水汽和各种水凝物)相关的宏微观特征。结果表明,此次冕宁暴雨过程可分为两个阶段:第一阶段(6月26日18~22时),强降水区上升运动强度最大,在水汽辐合达最强的同时,促使较弱降水区的液相水凝物向强降水区辐合,强降水区收集的丰富液相水凝物一部分转化为冰相水凝物供应云系增长(此时>35 dBZ的对流性回波伸展高度最高),另一部分转化为强降水降至地面,造成第一阶段的强降水发生;第二阶段(26日23时~27日01时),强降水区的局地上升运动有所减弱,导致强降水区液相水凝物辐合减弱,但仍保持强烈的水汽辐合,上升运动极值中心有所降低,有助于云、雨滴碰并和水汽凝结等过程发生,垂直方向上出现两个上升运动极值中心,回波强度在垂直方向表现为强—弱—强的结构分布,高层云中的冰相粒子对低层云系具有一定播撒效应,有助于液相水凝物高效转化为强降水。不同降水强度间的降水效率差异显著,变化范围为5%~70%,越大的降水效率对应越强的地面降水。

    Abstract:

    Using high-resolution simulation produced by the WRF (weather research and forecasting) model, three dimensional precipitation equation, and definition of precipitation efficiency, an heavy rainfall event occurred in Mianning on 26 June 2020 is studied. The vertical dynamic structure, hydrometeor distribution and various physical processes of precipitation are compared and analyzed. The characteristics related to water substances ( water vapor, rain, snow, hail, graupel, ice and liquid cloud) in complex terrain areas are further revealed.The results indicated that the rainstorm process can be divided into two stages. In the first stage, from 1800 BJT (Beijing time) to 2200 BJT 26 June 2020, The sharp ascending motion in the strong precipitation area promotes the convergence of water vapor and liquid-phase hydrometeors from the weak precipitation area. The abundant liquid-phase hydrometeors collected in the strong precipitation area are converted into heavy rainfall and ice-phase hydrometeors to supply cloud growth. At this time, The strong convective echo with the reflectivity of >35 dBZ reached the highest level. In the second stage, from 2300 BJT 26 to 0100 BJT 27 June 2020, the local ascending motion in the strong precipitation area is weakened, which leads to the weakening of the convergence of liquid-phase hydrometeors , but the convergence of water vapor is still strong and the location of maximum ascending motion is descended, which is helpful for the condensation of water vapor and the collision of clouds and raindrops. There are two maximum centers of ascending motion in the vertical direction. The echo intensity shows profile of strong-weak-strong. The ice particles in the upper atmosphere may be as seeds for the lower cloud, which is helpful for the conversion of liquid-phase hydrometeors into heavy rainfall. The precipitation efficiency varies significantly among different rainfall intensity ranges, from 5 % to 70 %. The greater the precipitation efficiency, the stronger the surface precipitation.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-02-14
  • 最后修改日期:2023-04-11
  • 录用日期:2023-05-08
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-31
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