双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

二级地形东移MCS影响下游降水的典型个例研究
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1.中国气象局公共气象服务中心;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所云降水物理与强风暴重点实验室

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Typical case study of Impact of a typical Eastward-Propagating Mesoscale Convective System over the Second-Step terrain on its downstream rainfall
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1.Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation Physics and Severe Storms,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;2.Public Meteorological Service Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing,China

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    摘要:

    本文针对一次典型的二级地形中尺度对流系统(mesoscale convective system, MCS)东移与高原东移对流合并影响下游对流系统个例开展数值模拟研究, 发生时段为2016年6月29日-7月1日,本次过程导致长江中游至江淮流域地区出现了一次范围较大的强降水过程。高分辨率的数值模拟清楚地再现了二级地形对流东移与高原东移对流合并发展影响下游对流系统的发展过程,较好地刻画出长江中下游地区降水的时空分布特征。此次对流发展过程主要经历形成,移出,合并和减弱阶段。其中,在形成阶段,由于西南低涡东北的气旋式扰动,二级地形MCS于夜间在西部山地地区形成,至次日凌晨东移到二级地形东部边界并且增强发展。发展加强后的二级地形MCS逐渐移出地形之后下游已有零散对流(高原东部对流东移至二级地形东部所致)在午后逐渐组织起来后,受到夜间增强的低空急流影响,与二级地形东移对流合并发展。合并后的MCS东移和发展推动上升运动增强,从而低层辐合增强,对流层低层诱发中尺度涡旋,涡旋和对流共同发展,引发长江中下游地区强降水。

    Abstract:

    A typical mesoscale convective system (MCS) over the second-step terrain that moved eastward, merged with convection moving eastward from the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau (TP), and influenced the downstream convection systems, had been studied using a numerical simulation. The case occurred from June 29 to July 1, 2016, and resulted in heavy precipitation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River to the Yangtze-Huai River Basin. This simulation had successfully reproduced the eastward movement of the MCSs over the second-step terrain and the merging with convection moving eastward from the TP, which affected the downstream convective systems. The results revealed the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation over the middle and lower Yangtze River. The evolution of the MCS is divided into four stages: the formation stage, the propagation stage, the merging stage, and the weakening stage. Due to the cyclonic disturbance in the northeastern part of the Southwest Vortex, the MCS formed in the western mountainous area over the second-step terrain. After moving eastward out of the second-step terrain, the MCS merged with the eastward-propagating convection from the eastern edge of the TP over the downstream areas, which promoted the strong development of upward motion, enhanced the convergence in the lower layers, and induced a mesoscale vortex in the lower troposphere. The mesoscale vortex and the merged convection gradually coupled, triggering heavy rainfall in the eastern plains east of the second-step terrain.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-02
  • 最后修改日期:2023-09-28
  • 录用日期:2023-10-23
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