双月刊

ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

中高纬和低纬10-30天大气低频振荡对中国夏季降水的影响
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南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心

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国家自然科学基金重点项目: 41930969, 12241102, 42030612, 41775096


Effects of 10-30-day Atmospheric Low Frequency Oscillations at Mid-High Latitudes and Low Latitudes on Summer Precipitation in China
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Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,Nanjing University of Infomation Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    大气低频振荡与中国夏季降水及灾害性天气密切相关,研究10-30天低频振荡对天气气候的影响具有重要意义。本文利用站点观测和ERA5再分析数据等,研究了1991-2020年间中高纬和低纬10-30天低频振荡对中国夏季平均降水的影响及机理。由奇异值分解(SVD)分析得到,中高纬10-30天振荡与长江-南海反位相降水分布有密切关系,贝加尔湖以北振荡偏弱,贝加尔湖以南振荡偏强时,长江流域降水显著偏少,南海至华南地区降水显著偏多;低纬10-30天振荡的关键区则位于西北太平洋,该区域振荡偏强时,华南地区降水为显著正异常。中高纬10-30天振荡主要通过波流相互作用影响夏季副热带西风急流的平均位置,使得急流附近次级环流的位置发生相应异常,从而间接影响长江流域和南海至华南地区的降水多寡,使其呈现异常的反位相分布;区别于中高纬度的是,低纬西北太平洋10-30天振荡通过向西-西北传播至华南地区,直接引起华南地区的降水异常。

    Abstract:

    Atmospheric low frequency oscillations are closely related to summer precipitation and related catastrophic weather in China, and it is of great significance to study the effects of 10-30-day low frequency oscillations on weather and climate. In this paper, the effects and mechanisms of the 10-30-day oscillations at mid-high latitudes and low latitudes on the average summer precipitation in China during the period 1991-2020 are investigated by using station observations data and ERA5 reanalysis data, etc. According to the singular value decomposition(SVD) analysis, the 10-30-day oscillations at mid-high latitude are closely related to the spatial distribution of inverse-phase precipitation over Yangtze River and South China Sea, When the 10-30-day oscillations in north of Lake Baikal are weak and the oscillations in south of Lake Baikal are strong, the precipitation exhibits a significant decrease in the Yangtze River basin while showing a notable increase from the South China Sea to South China; The key region of the low latitudes 10-30-day oscillations is located in the northwestern Pacific, where precipitation in southern China exhibits a significant positive anomaly during periods of strong oscillation within this region. The 10-30-day oscillations at mid-high latitudes mainly affect the mean position of the summer subtropical westerly jet stream through wave-current interactions, which makes the position of the secondary circulation near the jet stream to be anomalous, thus indirectly affecting the precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin and the South China Sea to South China, and making it show anomalous inverse-phase distributions; Distinguishing it from the mid-high latitudes, the 10-30-day oscillations at low latitudes over northwest Pacific propagate northwestward to southern China, directly inducing precipitation anomalies.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-09-28
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-06
  • 录用日期:2024-04-01
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