ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

Recent Progresses in the study on Arctic-midlatitude connection and its association with Arctic sea ice loss
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    Abstract:

    This paper provides an overview of recent (2018-2023) progresses in the research filed of the Arctic-Eurasian midlatitude linkage and its association with Arctic sea ice loss. The progress includes the following aspects: (1) There is a substantial understanding of the contribution of Arctic sea ice melting in an extreme snowfall event in Europe, which cannot be explained by the mechanism that Arctic sea ice variations affect atmospheric circulation proposed in previous studies. (2) The response of winter Asian regional temperatures to the continuous melting of Arctic sea ice exhibits significant low-frequency oscillation characteristics. The continuous melting of Arctic sea ice is conducive to the alternating occurrence of warm Arctic-cold Eurasia (2004/05-2012/13) and warm Arctic-warm Eurasia (2013/14-2016/17). In the war Arctic-cold Eurasia phase, the enhanced Arctic-midlatitude connection was observed, while in the warm Arctic-warm Eurasian phase, the linkage between the Arctic and East Asia weakened. However, the mechanism by which sea ice melting affects the strength of the Arctic-Eurasian connection is unclear. (3) At summer mean and sub-seasonal time scales, summer heatwaves in the mid- and low-latitudes of East Asia are dynamically linked to the simultaneous cold anomalies in the mid- and low-troposphere over the Arctic. Arctic summer cold anomalies are conducive to not only slowing down Arctic sea ice melting, but also provide a precursor signal for predicting East Asian winter monsoon. (4) Arctic sea ice loss does not produce substantial impact on summer precipitation variability in the region south to North China. (5) Although there are many studies stressing the important roles of the troposphere-stratosphere interactions in linking Arctic sea ice loss to weather events and climate variability in the midlatitudes, the causal-effect linkage is still weak, and the uncertainty of the impact of the stratosphere process on weather events and climate variability is greater than that of the troposphere process. (6) It is no longer practical to distinguish the different roles of Arctic sea ice forcing and atmospheric internal variability in weather events and climate variability. In the future, more attention should be paid to the role of Arctic sea ice melting in resulting low-frequency atmospheric circulation variability, as well as the impacts of the spatial distribution differences in Arctic sea ice anomalies and different abnormal amplitudes. Additionally, quantitative research is also needed to explore the roles of Arctic sea ice melting in extreme weather and climate events.

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History
  • Received:April 19,2023
  • Revised:September 12,2023
  • Adopted:September 25,2023
  • Online: November 20,2023
  • Published: