ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

Variations of ITCZ in the South China Sea and Their Possible Influences on the South China Sea-Generated Tropical Cyclone (SCS-G TC) Activities
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    Abstract:

    Using the Outgoing Long-wave Radiation (OLR) from NOAA, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the tropical cyclone (TC) best track dataset over the western North Pacific (WNP) provided by Shanghai Institute of Typhoon Of CMA, an intensity index of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over the region of (5°N-20°N, 105°E-120°E) in the South China Sea (SCS) was defined. Impacts of ITCZ variations on the South China Sea-generated tropical cyclone (SCS-G TC) have been studied in the present paper. Results show that there is a significant negative correlation between the intensity index of the ITCZ and the occurrence frequency of SCS-G TC on the interannual and interdecadal time scale. However, long-term trends are different between the two time scales. These results indicate that the intensity of the ITCZ may strongly affect the occurrence of SCS-G TC. However, the ITCZ intensity does not significantly affect the location of the TC genesis,life time,moving path and intensity of SCS-G TC. Furthermore, large differences in the dynamic and environmental conditions were found between the strong and weak ITCZ years. The anomalous conditions in the strong ITCZ years are conducive to the development of SCS-G TC; the cyclonic circulation in the lower troposphere cooperates with the anticyclonic circulation in the upper troposphere as usual, and the location of the monsoon trough is located more southern in the SCS. These match with the deep convection zone as shown by OLR. The warmer SST (Sea Surface Temperature) and stronger positive vorticity along with stronger convergence in the lower troposphere and stronger divergence in the upper troposphere all facilitate stronger vertical movement. In weak ITCZ years, the situations are opposite. Moreover, the SSTA in strong ITCZ years is usually characterized by a La Niña pattern with more vigorous SCS convection. On the contrary, if the El Niño events occur, the ITCZ in SCS will become weaker. All these results are important for us to better understand the formation mechanism for the SCS-G TC and are beneficial for predicting the occurrence of the locally generated TC in SCS.

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History
  • Received:April 14,2015
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: January 14,2017
  • Published: