ISSN 1006-9895

CN 11-1768/O4

Analysis and Diagnosis of Low-Frequency Characteristics in a Low Temperature Event in Southern China in the Winter of 1996
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    Abstract:

    Extreme low-temperature events have received considerable interest due to their recurring and catastrophic nature. Several scholars have studied the low-temperature events in China over the past few decades from the perspective of interannual and interdecadal variations. Intraseasonal oscillation has been regarded as one of the basic characteristics of atmospheric activity. One of the keys to the advancement of extended-range forecasting capability is to improve the study of intraseasonal oscillation. Studies have shown that the low-temperature formation is closely related to the winter monsoon and cold air intraseasonal oscillation. Therefore, the authors want to investigate the characteristics of quasi-biweekly oscillation in low-temperature events to improve the understanding of the low-frequency signals of the recurrent extreme low-temperature events in the middle and high latitudes. Based on in-situ observed daily minimum temperature from 192 stations in China and ERA-Interim reanalysis data, the characteristics of intraseasonal oscillation and low-frequency circulation of the southern low-temperature events caused by southward cold air along the eastern path are discussed with band-pass filtering and SVD (Singular Value Decomposition) decomposition including other methods. Also, the thermodynamic diagnosis is carried out as well. Results showed a significant 10-20 d oscillation cycle at the minimum temperature in southern China and reported 22 sustained low-temperature events in 34 winters during 1979-2013, which occurred with increased the low-frequency oscillation. Analysis of the low-frequency circulation pattern during the low-temperature event in February 1996 shows that the system across Europe is moving downstream along the low-frequency wave line, the eastward change in middle latitude region is most apparent, and the irregular high or low pressure over Siberia and East Asia is the key area closely related to winter temperature in most parts of China. The anomalous northern wind drives the cold air from high latitude to the south is the fundamental cause of cold event in the south. On the vertical structure, systems in the troposphere on the coast of East Asia show the baroclinicity while the interior is mainly barotropic. Thermodynamic diagnosis shows that the local temperature variability is mainly affected by advection term and diabatic heating term because the effect of adiabatic term is too small to be overlooked, and cold advection is the key to maintaining a low-temperature process. The low-frequency oscillation behavior of 10-20 days has a significant contribution to the low-temperature event.

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History
  • Received:July 07,2018
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 20,2020
  • Published: