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低过冷雨水含量天气过程冰雹形成机制及催化机理模拟1
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山东省气象局项目2012sdqxz07、2015sdqxm07


Numerical Study of Hail Formation in a Storm with Low Supercooled Rain Water Content and the Seeding Mechanism with AgI
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    摘要:

    利用三维全弹性冰雹云模式,对2008年5月24日山东境内一次受高空冷涡影响的大范围冰雹天气过程进行模拟,分析了冰雹的形成机制和催化防雹机理。结果表明:该过程过冷雨水中心位于最大上升气流中心下方,不存在过冷雨累积区,过冷雨水含量最大值仅为4.9gm-3,但雹云中过冷雨水含量仍然丰富,对雹胚的形成及增长起着重要作用。雹胚以冻滴为主,冻滴胚来源于冰雪晶与过冷雨水碰撞冻结以及雨滴核化过程。冻滴形成后主要以碰并过冷雨水、云水增长。冻滴胚自动转化过程是冰雹数量、质量的主要来源;冰雹形成后,前期主要靠碰并冻滴、霰和过冷雨水增长,后期主要靠碰并过冷云水增长。催化试验表明,播撒57.5g催化剂足以通过"竞争"减雹50%以上,增加AgI剂量,防雹的同时能够兼顾增雨。催化剂用量为230g时,催化后液态降水有所增加,固态降水量及占总降水量的比例减少显著,特别是冰雹。AgI主要以凝华核的作用产生人工冰晶,冰晶凝华增长导致过冷云水、雨水含量降低。催化后雹胚特别是冻滴胚数量增多,对过冷云水、雨水的竞争增强;其平均尺度、质量的减小,降低了向冰雹的转化率。冰雹碰并过冷云水、雨水增长过程被减弱,导致冰雹总质量进一步减少,达到消雹目的。

    Abstract:

    The mechanism of hail formation and seeding effect of hail suppression were studied using a threedimensional hailstorm numerical model with fully elastic primitive equations. The data used were taken from a large-area hailstorm affected by a high altitude cold eddy that occurred in Shandong Province on 24 May 2008. The simulation results showed that the height of the center of supercooled raindrops was below the maximum updraft center in this storm, so the accumulation zone of supercooled rain water was not present, and the maximum content of supercooled rain water was only 4.9 g m-3. However, the supercooled rain water content was still rich in the hailstorm cloud, which played an important role in hailstone embryo formation. The main hailstone embryos were frozen droplets, with the dominant formation mechanisms being the collision freezing of ice crystals, snowflakes with supercooled rain water and the nucleation of raindrops. Once formed, accretion of rain water and cloud water were the dominant growth mechanisms of frozen droplets. Both the main quality and quantity source mechanism of hail particles was the auto conversion of frozen droplets. After formation, the coalescence of frozen droplets, graupel particles and supercooled rain water were the dominant growth mechanisms of hail particles in the earlier stage, while in the later stage the dominant growth mechanism was the coalescence of supercooled cloud water. Catalytic results showed that hail-related disaster would have been suppressed by more than 50% by seeding 57.5 g AgI, and precipitation would have been enhanced along with the hail suppression by increasing the AgI content. Rainfall precipitation was increased with the solid-phase precipitation and its percentage decreased, especially hailstones, when seeding with 230 g AgI. Artificial ice crystals were produced with the deposition nucleus AgI, and the deposition growth of ice crystal resulted in a reduction of supercooled cloud water content. The number of hailstone embryos, especially frozen droplets, increased considerably after seeding, and these numerous smaller hailstone embryos competing for the lower availability of supercooled cloud water resulted in a reduction of average size and quality of frozen droplets. The quantity of hailstones reduced because the conversion rate of hailstone embryos to hailstones was decreased. Accretion of supercooled cloud and rain water by hailstones was decreased after seeding, resulting in a decrease in hail amount, and the hail was suppressed by seeding with AgI.

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樊明月,王庆,刘文,郭建.2016.低过冷雨水含量天气过程冰雹形成机制及催化机理模拟1[J].气候与环境研究,21(3):293-305. FAN Mingyue, WANG Qing, LIU Wen, GUO Jian.2016. Numerical Study of Hail Formation in a Storm with Low Supercooled Rain Water Content and the Seeding Mechanism with AgI[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],21(3):293-305.

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  • 收稿日期:2015-05-19
  • 最后修改日期:2015-09-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-05-26
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