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1971~2013年我国四季开始日期及生长期长度的变化特征分析
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国家自然科学项目(41371222),青蓝工程,六大人才高峰


Analysis of Changes in Starting Dates of the Four Seasons and the Length of the Growing Season in China during 1971 to 2013
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    摘要:

    利用中国气象局国家气象信息中心提供的中国584个气象站点1971~2013年的逐日气温数据,采用线性倾向估计和经验模态分解(EMD)等方法,以地理信息系统为数据处理平台,分析我国43年来四季起始日以及生长期的变化特征。结果表明:新疆、云南和四川地区的四季起始日变化呈现明显的南北差异;全国大部分地区春、夏季起始日提前,春季比夏季提前趋势更明显,江苏、安徽、湖北大部和云南北部春季提前显著,提前率为4.1~7.2 d/10 a;夏季提前的区域更广,新疆东部、甘肃西部、华南大部和云南南部夏季提前显著,提前率为2.9~4.6 d/10 a;全国大部分地区秋、冬季起始日推迟,秋季比冬季推迟的范围更大,新疆南部和四川西部秋季推迟明显,推迟率为4.4~8.6 d/10 a;冬季推迟趋势更显著,新疆东南部和青海大部冬季推迟明显,推迟率为4.7~13.8 d/10 a;全国各地区生长期均有延长,最显著的是云川交界处和新疆东南部地区,延长率为20.1 d/10 a。EMD和线性倾向估计的结果基本一致,但EMD得到的春季起始日推迟地区的范围更大,夏、秋、冬季起始日以及生长期的变化趋势更显著。

    Abstract:

    Linear trend estimation and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) etc. were applied to analyze daily temperature data during 1971-2013 collected at 584 standard meteorological stations and provided by the National Meteorological Information Center, China Meteorological Administration. Based on the geographic information system data processing platform, the variation trends of starting dates of the four seasons and the length of the growing season in the recent 43 years were analyzed. The results show that changes in starting dates of seasons in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan showed significant differences between the north and south. The starting dates of spring and summer advanced in most regions of China, particularly for the spring. In Jiangsu, Anhui, Hubei, and northern Yunnan, the staring date of spring advanced by 4.1-7.2 d/10 a. The area with advanced starting date of summer was wider than that with advanced spring. Eastern Xinjiang, western Gansu, southern Yunnan, and South China experienced the most significant advancement of summer, which could reach 2.9-4.6 d/10 a. The starting dates of autumn and winter delayed in most areas of China. The autumn season started late by 4.4-8.6 d/10 a in southern Xinjiang and western Sichuan fall, while later starting of the winter was even more significant, particularly in southeastern Xinjiang and Qinghai, where the winter started late by 4.7-13.8 d/10 a. The length of growing season became longer in various regions, with the largest increase of 9.7-20.1 d/10 a occurring at the border of Sichuan and Yunnan and southeastern Xinjiang. EMD and linear tendency estimate results basically were identical, but the area of late spring starting was bigger in EMD result than in linear tendency estimate results. Changes in the starting dates of summer, autumn, winter were more prominent than that in the length of growing season.

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任妍,赵巧华.2017.1971~2013年我国四季开始日期及生长期长度的变化特征分析[J].气候与环境研究,22(2):203-211. REN Yan, ZHAO Qiaohua.2017. Analysis of Changes in Starting Dates of the Four Seasons and the Length of the Growing Season in China during 1971 to 2013[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],22(2):203-211.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-01-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-03-27
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