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2013年1月华北地区重雾霾过程及其成因的模拟分析
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中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(B)XDB05030105、XDB05030102、XDB05030103


Numerical Simulation of a Heavy Fog-Haze Episode over the North China Plain in January 2013
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    摘要:

    2013年1月11~14日,华北地区经历重雾霾过程。为了探讨其形成原因,利用大气化学模式系统Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)-Chem模拟2013年1月华北地区气溶胶的时空变化。模拟的能见度、气象要素(温度、湿度、降水、风速和风向)以及细颗粒物(PM2.5,大气中直径≤2.5 μm的颗粒物)地表浓度的时间变化与近地面观测值都较为吻合。模拟结果表明,1月11~14日,细颗粒物高值分布于河北省南部和东部、天津地区以及北京地区,其日均值约为400~500 μg m-3。通过与历史气候数据比较发现,2013年1月10~15日华北地区的气象条件表现为较大的相对湿度正距平(20%~40%)以及风速的负距平(-1 m s-1)。北京站点的探空数据还表明,在1月11~13日期间,垂直方向上,1 km以下的大气中存在明显的逆温层,并且湿度保持较高的值(80%~90%)。模拟结果表明,1月11~14日,近地面南向风和东向风将水汽输送到华北地区,上层大气(850 hPa)的西北风则将沙尘输送到华北地区。以上气象条件有利于气溶胶的吸湿增长和浓度的聚集。硝酸盐的收支分析表明,在北京地区,与1~9日相比,10~14日夜间化学生成和传输的显著增加都贡献于硝酸盐浓度,是重雾霾形成的主要原因。

    Abstract:

    A heavy fog-haze episode occurred over the North China Plain during 11-14 January 2013. To investigate the reason for its formation, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Chem model was applied to simulate the temporal and spatial distribution features of air pollutants during this fog-haze episode. Compared with observations, the model can reasonably predict temporal and spatial variation of visibility, meteorological conditions such as temperature, relative humidity (RH), wind, and precipitation, and the surface concentration of PM2.5 (particle matter 2.5 mm or less in aerodynamic diameter) in January 2013 over the North China Plain. The model results show that during the study period, high PM2.5 persisted over southern and eastern parts of Hebei Province and the Tianjin and Beijing areas with the highest daily average value ranging from approximately 400-500 μg m-3. The analysis of historical climate data from 1951 to 2013 indicated a large positive anomaly (20%-40%) of RH and a negative anomaly (-1 m s-1) of wind speed during the study period. The sounding data also showed the presence of temperature inversion layers over Beijing with a difference of approximately 5 ℃ and high RH maintained at 80%-90% under 1 km. The model results show that during the study period, water vapor was transported with southerly or easterly wind over the near-surface layer and that dust aerosol was transported with northwesterly wind over the upper layer (850 hPa) to the North China Plain. Such meteorological conditions are favorable for the hygroscopic growth and accumulation of aerosols. The balance analysis of nitrate shows that over the Beijing area, a significant increase in chemistry and transport during the nighttime of 10-14 January 2013, contributed to nitrate concentration and the formation of heavy fog-haze.

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高怡,张美根.2014.2013年1月华北地区重雾霾过程及其成因的模拟分析[J].气候与环境研究,19(2):140-152. GAO Yi, ZHANG Meigen.2014. Numerical Simulation of a Heavy Fog-Haze Episode over the North China Plain in January 2013[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],19(2):140-152.

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  • 收稿日期:2013-08-06
  • 最后修改日期:2013-11-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2014-04-22
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