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CN 11-3693/P

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ERA5和ERA5-Land地面风速资料在中国陆地区域的适用性对比初步研究
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1.华能河池清洁能源有限责任公司;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所国际气候与环境科学中心;3.华能新能源股份有限公司;4.北京瑞科同创能源科技有限公司

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Preliminarily comparative Study on the Applicability of ERA5 and ERA5-Land Surface Wind Speed Data over China’s Land Region
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1.Huaneng Hechi Clean Energy Co,Ltd;2.International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;3.Huaneng Renewables Co,Ltd;4.Beijing RETEC New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd

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    摘要:

    近年来,再分析资料开始被应用于风能资源评估工作中。本文利用全国40个地面台站的观测资料对ERA5及ERA5-Land两种不同空间分辨率的再分析资料开展了地面风速误差评估研究,结果表明:ERA5和ERA5-Land资料多年平均风速偏差的平均值分别为0.08 m s-1、-0.06 m s-1,偏差的最大值分别为0.46 m s-1、-0.19 m s-1,相对偏差的平均值为4.4%、-2.0%,相对偏差的最大值分别为33.0%、-10.1%;月平均风速线性拟合方程的斜率分别为0.93、0.97,截距分别为0.29 m s-1、0.02 m s-1,相关系数分别为0.98、0.99;月平均风速均方根误差的平均值分别为0.17 m s-1、0.14 m s-1,均方根误差的最大值分别为0.49 m s-1、0.22 m s-1,相对均方根误差的平均值为7.4%、5.7%,相对均方根误差的最大值分别为35.2%、13.3%。ERA5-Land高分辨率资料地面风速误差相对较低,有利于提高风能资源评估的准确性。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, reanalysis data are more and more used in wind energy resource assessment. In this paper, the observation data from 40 ground stations in China are used to evaluate the ground wind speed error of ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis data with different resolutions. The results show that the mean Bias Error (BE) of multi-year mean wind speed of ERA5 and ERA5-Land data is 0.08 m s-1 and -0.06 m s-1 respectively, the maximum BE is 0.46 m s-1 and -0.19 m s-1 respectively, the Relative Bias Error (RBE) is 4.4% and -2.0%, and the maximum RBE is 33.0% and -10.1% respectively; The slope of the linear fitting equation of monthly mean wind speed is 0.93 and 0.97 respectively, the intercept is 0.29 m s-1 and 0.02 m s-1 respectively, and the correlation coefficient is 0.98 and 0.99 respectively; The mean Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of monthly mean wind speed is 0.17 m s-1 and 0.14 m s-1 respectively, the maximum RMSE is 0.49 m s-1 and 0.22 m s-1 respectively, the Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE) is 7.4% and 5.7%, and the maximum RRMSE is 35.2% and 13.3% respectively. The error of ground wind speed of ERA5-Land high-resolution data is relatively low, which is conducive to improving the accuracy of wind energy resource assessment.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-06
  • 最后修改日期:2022-11-17
  • 录用日期:2023-03-30
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