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ISSN 1006-9585

CN 11-3693/P

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一种基于K-means聚类算法的沙尘天气客观识别方法
作者:
作者单位:

1.北京信息科技大学;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所国际气候与环境科学中心

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目41975119、42075166、41830966,北京信息科技大学横向项目 S2226080


An Objective Identification Method for Dust Weather Based on the K-means Clustering Algorithm
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Beijing Information Science and Technology University;2.International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant 41975119, 42075166, 41830966), Beijing Information Science and Technology University (S2226080)

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    摘要:

    鉴于以往基于污染物浓度时间序列进行分析的沙尘天气识别方法在判断标准上存在一定的主观性,本文提出一种基于K-means聚类方法的沙尘天气客观识别方法。该方法利用环境监测总站的PM2.5和PM10小时浓度资料进行聚类,其核心思想是首先选取最优的分类数目K进行聚类,然后对聚类结果中离散程度较高的类别再次进行分类,直到无需再分类。将该方法应用到西安市2018年2~4月的沙尘天气识别中。结果表明,该方法能较好地识别主要的沙尘天气,可得到沙尘天气的典型特征:PM2.5占PM10浓度的比例小于43.5%、PM10浓度大于228μg/m3,符合沙尘天气期间PM10浓度较高且以粗颗粒物为主的认识。总体上看,该方法具有清晰的物理基础,可操行性强,适用于大规模数据处理,具有很好的实用价值和应用前景。

    Abstract:

    Time series analysis methods have been developed before to identify dust weather based on pollutant concentrations, but the criteria used are subject to considerable uncertainty. Therefore, in this study, we propose an objective identification method for dust weather based on the K-means clustering method by using the hourly concentration of PM2.5 and PM10 from the environmental monitoring stations. The core idea of this method is as follows: first select the optimal number of classifications K for cluster analysis; then classify the cluster groups that show large scattering in the distribution of PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations until no further classification is needed. This method is applied to identify dust weather in Xi"an from February to April 2018. The results show that this method can effectively identify the main dust weather events. Based on this method, typical characteristics of dust weather can be obtained: the ratio of PM2.5 to PM10 concentration is less than 43.5%, and the PM10 concentration is greater than 228μg/m3, which is consistent with our knowledge that the PM10 concentration is high and mainly consists of coarse particles during the dust event. Overall, this method has a clear physical basis, and it is easy to operate, suitable for massive data processing, and promising for applications in relevant areas.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-05-04
  • 最后修改日期:2023-10-12
  • 录用日期:2023-11-28
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-05
  • 出版日期: