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2009/2010年北半球冬季异常低温分析
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国家国家重点基础研究发展计划项目2010CB950400,国家自然科学基金委创新群体40821092


Analysis of Anomalously Low Surface Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere during 2009/2010 Winter
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    摘要:

    分析了2009/2010年冬季(2009年12月1日至2010年2月28日,简称09/10年冬季)北半球地面气温异常特征及同期的水平与垂直环流场的异常结构。结果表明地面气温的异常呈现出带状的分布,表现为在低纬度为正异常、中纬度负异常及高纬度正异常的"正负正"的分布特征,最大的降温区在欧亚大陆和美国东部,其中局部的降温超过了-4 ℃。09/10年冬季北半球中纬度的地面气温相比过去15年冬季的平均值下降了近1 ℃,而在欧亚大陆的局部地区降温超过了-8 ℃。水平环流场的异常特征为:海平面气压和位势高度均表现为高纬度正异常而中纬度负异常的"北高南低"的分布特征,与此同时,中纬度出现气旋式的异常环流而高纬出现反气旋式的异常环流,这种分布形势在高低层表现得较为一致。经圈环流异常特征为:费雷尔环流减弱,中纬度出现异常的上升运动而高纬度出现异常的下沉运动,与此同时,中纬度对流层气温降低,而低纬度和高纬度的对流层气温升高,副热带急流增强,而极地急流减弱。09/10年冬季北半球环流的异常特征与北半球环状模(NAM)负位相时的极为相似。对多年冬季北半球地面气温和NAM指数进行合成和相关分析,结果表明当NAM处于正(负)位相时,北半球中纬度地面气温出现正(负)异常带,并且在欧亚大陆和美国东部最为显著,局部升温(降温)的幅度达到2 ℃。
    在热带外地区,经向温度平流是控制温度局地变化的关键因子。NAM影响北半球地面气温的物理机制分析表明,NAM主要是通过影响经向温度平流来影响北半球中纬度气温的。当NAM为正位相时,北半球费雷尔环流加强,中纬度带和高纬度带发生大气质量的交换,海平面气压场表现为中纬度异常高压而高纬度异常低压的"南高北低"的分布特征,中纬度地表出现异常的南风,进而经向暖平流加强,最终导致中纬度地面气温升高,NAM负位相年时与之相反。这个结果揭示了NAM作为自然变率对中纬度地面气温的调控作用。

    Abstract:

    The anomalously low Surface Air Temperature (SAT) and the corresponding atmospheric circulation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere during the winter (DJF) of 2009/2010 are investigated. Surface Air Temperature Anomalies (SATA) were zonally distributed with a "positive-negative-positive" pattern from tropical to polar region which was characterized by positive SATA in low latitudes, negative SATA in middle latitudes, and positive SATA in high latitudes. The coldest SATA were located in Eurasia and eastern USA, and in some parts SATA exceeded -4 ℃. SAT in middle latitudes decreased by nearly 1 ℃ compared to the average of the last 15 years, and in Eurasia SAT even decreased by -8 ℃. The anomalous feathers of horizontal circulation was that, both sea level pressure and geopotential height fields exhibited positive anomalies in high latitudes and negative anomalies in low latitudes, associated with anticyclonic circulation anomalies in high latitudes and cyclonic circulation anomalies in middle latitude, and both high levels and low levels exhibited this feather. The anomalous feathers of zonally mean meridional circulation indicated that, Ferrel cell was weakened, with anomalous ascending motion in middle latitudes and anomalous descending motion in high latitudes, at the same time, atmosphere temperature of troposphere in middle latitudes was anomalously low and that in high latitudes was warmer, with a stronger jet in subtropics and a weaker jet in the polar region. Composite and correlation analysis of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode (NAM) and SATA shows that, during positive (negative) phase of NAM, there was a positive (negative) band in middle latitudes, and it was most significant in Eurasia and eastern USA, with nearly 2 ℃ warming (cooling) in some regions. Analysis of air temperature equation shows that meridional temperature advection anomalies associated with anomalous meridional wind play a very important role in the variability of local temperature, and its distribution closely resembled the SATA in 2009/2010 winter. With composite and correlation analysis, the mechanism for the relationship between NAM and SATA is investigated. During the positive phase of NAM, the Ferrel cell is anomalously strong, the mass between two latitude zones exchanges, in sea level pressure positive anomalies is in middle latitudes and negative anomalies is in high latitudes, which forces southerly surface wind anomalies in the middle latitude. As a result, the meridional temperature advection is enhanced, which results in warmer SAT in middle latitudes. The situations is opposite during negative phase of NAM. The above-mentioned physical mechanism reveals that surface air temperature in mid-latitude is modulated by NAM as a natural variability.

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孙诚,李建平.2012.2009/2010年北半球冬季异常低温分析[J].气候与环境研究,17(3):259-273. SUN Cheng, LI Jianping.2012. Analysis of Anomalously Low Surface Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere during 2009/2010 Winter[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],17(3):259-273.

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  • 收稿日期:2010-05-21
  • 最后修改日期:2012-01-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2012-05-16
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