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北京能见度变化趋势及冬季一次典型污染过程分析
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中国科学院知识创新工程重大项目KZCX1-YW-06-01,国家重点基础研究发展规划项目2007CB407303,国家高技术研究发展计划项目2006AA06A301


Analysis of Trends of Visibility and Its Characters during Air Seriously Polluted Days in Beijing
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    摘要:

    为了探索北京地区大气能见度变化规律,对2005~2009年能见度的监测资料进行了分析。结果表明,北京地区能见度年均值为10.17 km,并呈现逐年上升趋势,增长率为0.69 km·a-1(决定系数R2=0.99,显著性水平p<0.01),同时霾天数则逐年下降,细颗粒物浓度的降低是能见度好转的主要原因。能见度的季节变化特征表现为春季最高,冬季次之,夏季最低。能见度与气象要素的相关和偏相关关系表明能见度与相对湿度呈显著负相关关系,与地面风速的相关关系时正时负,表明风速对能见度的影响具有两面性。大气颗粒物(PM2.5)的快速累积增长是造成大气能见度急剧降低的重要原因,通过相关性分析发现两者之间存在显著的幂指数关系(R2=0.93,p<0.01);要保持较高的能见度(>10 km),北京需将PM2.5控制在30 μg·m-3以内,而PM2.5质量浓度的进一步降低将大幅度提高能见度。天气形势分析显示当华北地区处于锋后的高压控制时,北京地区受偏北风影响,地面风速较大,大气扩散条件有利于污染物的稀释和扩散,致使大气颗粒物质量浓度较低,大气能见度较高;而当华北地区处于高压均压场时,地面风速较小,大气层结稳定不利于污染物的扩散,局地源累积以及区域输送的共同影响,PM2.5逐渐累积,浓度持续上升,导致大气能见度持续降低。研究的结果提示提高北京地区大气能见度,需要控制的首要污染物为PM2.5。

    Abstract:

    The visibility rules in Beijing were analyzed on the basis of historic data from 2005 to 2009, it showed that the annual mean visibility in Beijing was 10.17 km in the past five years and experienced a significant increasing trend, approximately 0.69 km·a-1(R2=0.99,p<0.01), and at the same time haze days decreased rapidly in the past four years. The decreased annual concentrations of PM2.5 (aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm) were the main reason for the increased visibility. Visibility was the best in spring, better in winter and the worst in summer. In order to understand the causes of the low visibility in Beijing, the characteristics of the low visibility through a selected case in which the visibility rapidly changed to low visibility was analyzed. In this analysis visibility showed a negative correlation with relative humidity and a positive or negative correlation with wind speed, which suggested that the influence of wind speed to visibility was two-sidedness. The analysis also suggested that high concentration of aerosol particles (PM2.5) was a major cause for the visibility degradation. There was a significant anticorrelation between the concentrations of aerosol and the ranges of visibility (R2=0.93,p<0.01), which indicated that the concentration of PM2.5 should firstly be controlled below 30 μg·m-3 to keep a good visibility (>10 km) in Beijing, and the further reduction in aerosol concentrations will lead to an acceleration in improvement in visibility due to the non-linear relationship between aerosols and visibility. According to the diagnostic analysis result of environment process with weather pattern, PM2.5 and visibility had good relationship with the synoptic situation evolution. When the North China region was influenced by the high pressure gradient field after the front, the area of Beijing was affected by northerly winds. With a strong surface wind, atmospheric conditions favored for the diffusion of pollutants, resulting a lower concentration of particulate matter and a higher visibility. By contrast, when a mainland high pressure covered this area, the ground wind speed was weak and not conducive to the diffusion of pollutants. With accumulated local source and regional transportation, PM2.5 accumulated day after day from the valley value to the peak value, while the visibility decreased constantly. This study suggested the primary pollutant which should be controlled was PM2.5 to increase the visibility in Beijing.

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张宏,刘子锐,胡波,王莉莉,王跃思.2011.北京能见度变化趋势及冬季一次典型污染过程分析[J].气候与环境研究,16(5):620-628. ZHANG Hong, LIU Zirui, HU Bo, WANG Lili, WANG Yuesi.2011. Analysis of Trends of Visibility and Its Characters during Air Seriously Polluted Days in Beijing[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],16(5):620-628.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2011-12-01
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