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东印度洋海温对中国南方冬季降水的影响
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自然科学基金面上项目40775037,国家科技支撑计划课题2009BAC51B02,国家重点基础研究发展计划课题2009CB421401


Influence of the Sea Surface Temperature in the Eastern Indian Ocean on the Wintertime Rainfall in the Southern Part of China
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    摘要:

    利用NCEP再分析的大气环流资料、海表温度资料和全国160 站降水资料,研究了冬季东印度洋海温对我国江南-华南地区同期降水的影响。结果指出,冬季东印度洋海温(Sea Surface Temperature in the Eastern Indian Ocean,EIOSST)和同期的江南-华南降水呈显著的正相关关系。当EIOSST偏高时,江南-华南的冬季降水偏多。而当EIOSST偏低时,江南-华南的冬季降水偏少。这种影响的可能机制是:冬季东印度洋海温异常通过影响南支槽上的扰动活动和水汽输送来影响同期的江南-华南降水。当东印度洋海温偏高时,局地对流加强,引起南支槽地区的上升运动加强,南支槽活跃。活跃的南支扰动向下游传播,南支槽前的西南气流将水汽从孟加拉湾向华南和江南输送,引起华南和江南的降水偏多。进一步的分析显示,东印度洋海温对南支槽和江南-华南的降水的影响独立于ENSO的影响。二者对南支槽和江南-华南地区冬季降水的影响过程一致,只是东印度洋海温的影响较弱。当东印度洋海温和ENSO的作用相叠加时,江南-华南可能会出现较异常的冬季降水。

    Abstract:

    The influence of the sea surface temperature in the Eastern Indian Ocean (EIOSST) in winter on the synchronous rainfall in the southern part of China was studied by using the NCEP reanalysis monthly data, sea surface temperature data, and the Chinese monthly precipitation data at 160 stations. It shows that EIOSST is closely connected with the precipitation in the southern part of China. As EIOSST in wintertime was warmer than usual, there would be more precipitation in the southern part of China. EIOSST affected the rainfall in the southern part of China by the perturbation in the area of the southern branch trough and moisture transportation. As the eastern Indian Ocean was warmer than usual, the local convection and ascending motion enhanced. Thus, the perturbation in the area of the southern branch trough intensified. As the intensified perturbation moved eastward, the water vapor transport from the Bay of Bengal to the southern part of China strengthened, leading to more precipitation in that area. Further analysis shows that the influence of EIOSST on the southern branch trough and the precipitation in the southern part of China was consistent with ENSO, but it was weaker and was independent of ENSO. If the effects of EIOSST and ENSO were consistent in one year, there would be a distinctly anomalous precipitation in the southern part of China.

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彭京备.2012.东印度洋海温对中国南方冬季降水的影响[J].气候与环境研究,17(3):327-338. PENG Jingbei.2012. Influence of the Sea Surface Temperature in the Eastern Indian Ocean on the Wintertime Rainfall in the Southern Part of China[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],17(3):327-338.

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  • 收稿日期:2010-10-27
  • 最后修改日期:2012-03-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2012-05-16
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