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CN 11-3693/P

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金华地区汛期降水集中度和集中期特征分析
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1.金华市气象局;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所云降水物理与强风暴院重点实验室LACS

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Characterization of precipitation concentration and concentration period during flood season in Jinhua
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Jinhua Meteorological Bureau

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    摘要:

    为探究金华地区汛期降水的非均匀分布特征及其变化趋势,本文利用逐日降水资料结合ECMWF再分析资料,运用改进的集中度和集中期分析了1971~2020 年金华地区汛期降水在时间上的分布特征及演变趋势。结果表明金华地区汛期降水集中期首日在6月13日,与常年入梅时间吻合;金华地区总体上降水时间分布较均匀,但年际变化大;降水集中度和集中期均存在准18 a周期。海温场上降水异常集中年份前冬中东太平洋海温异常偏高,随后赤道中东太平洋海温差值逐渐转为显著的负异常,这种特征表明降水异常集中年份可能出现在厄尔尼诺的衰减阶段。形势场上降水集中年份最明显的异常为西太平洋副热带高压偏强偏西,以及菲律宾地区异常反气旋。菲律宾地区异常反气旋使初夏季节我国东部沿海西南气流水汽输送旺盛,并且造成西北太平洋副热带高压加强西伸,较强的副热带高压与西风槽之间的位势梯度可以增大西南暖湿气流的输送,减慢西风槽脊的移动,以形成较为稳定的环流配置,造成持续降水的出现,而在强的副热带高压继续西伸北抬后,西风带系统南下受阻,大型暖高压的下沉气流则会导致持续高温干旱酷暑天气,从而导致降水的异常集中。

    Abstract:

    In order to investigate the non-uniform distribution characteristics of the flood season precipitation and trend, this paper analyzes the temporal distribution characteristics and evolution trend of the flood season precipitation in Jinhua from 1971 to 2020 by using the dayily precipitation data combined with the ECMWF reanalysis data, and by applying the improved index of precipitation concentration and concentration period. The results show that the initial day of the precipitation concentration period during is on June 13, which coincides with the initial day of the monsoon season; Jinhua region generally has a relatively uniform temporal distribution of precipitation, but with large inter-annual variability; and There is a quasi 18-year cycle of precipitation concentration and period of concentration. In the SST field, the anomalously high SST in the east-central Pacific Ocean in the winter before the year of precipitation anomaly concentration, and then the SST difference in the east-central Pacific Ocean at the equator gradually turns into a significant negative anomaly, which suggests that the anomalously concentrated year of precipitation anomaly may occur in the decaying stage of El Ni?o. The most notable anomalies in the situation field are the strong and westerly subtropical high pressure in the western Pacific and the anomalous anticyclone in the Philippine region. Anomalous anticyclones in the Philippine region allow for strong moisture transport from the southwesterly flow along the eastern coast of China during the early summer season, an the same time causing the subtropical high pressure to strengthen and extend westward. The potential gradient between the stronger subtropical high pressure and the westerly trough can increase the transport of warm and humid air from the southwest and slow down the movement of the westerly trough ridge, in order to form a more stable circulation configuration, resulting in the emergence of sustained precipitation. And after the strong subtropical high pressure continues to extend west and lift north, the westerly wind belt system southward is blocked, the large warm high pressure of the sinking air flow will lead to persistent high temperature and drought heat weather, which will lead to an abnormal concentration of precipitation.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-08-07
  • 最后修改日期:2023-10-07
  • 录用日期:2023-11-13
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-05
  • 出版日期: