ISSN 1006-9585

CN 11-3693/P

+Advanced Search 中文版
A Study of the Aviation Short-Term Regional Climate Model Prediction Operational System

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials

    A regional atmospheric and oceanic coupled model named Aviation Shortterm Regional Climate Model (ASRegCM) is developed and nested into the shortterm climate prediction model CGCM_1.1 from the National Meteorological Center,China Meteorological Administration, which forms an operational prediction system ASRCPOS for aviation climate prediction. 20-year experiments from 1983 to 2002 were conducted using ASRCPOS. Numerical results show that ASRCPOS can improve prediction accuracy as compared with global scale prediction system of CGCM_1.1, and with earlier results by statistic approach. ASRCPOS makes great progress in anomalous sign prediction accuracy particularly for the spatial continuous variables such as surface temperature. It also raises the prediction accuracy of the anomalous magnitude of spatial discontinuous variables such as precipitation. The present numerical experiments show there are still lots of works to be done to improve the prediction accuracy of ASRCPOS, particularly for the climate durations of the abnormal temperature, and for the forecasts with time scale below one month.

    Cited by
Get Citation

鞠永茂,王汉杰,万应虎,景丽,李良富,杨成荫.2011.航空短期区域气候模式预测系统研究[J].气候与环境研究,16(1):85-93. JU Yongmao, WANG Hanjie, WAN Yinghu, JING Li, LI Liangfu, YANG Chengyin.2011. A Study of the Aviation Short-Term Regional Climate Model Prediction Operational System[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],16(1):85-93.

Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
  • Received:
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: December 01,2011
  • Published: