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Program of Wind Speed Prediction Based on Numerical Simulation with Intelligent Optimization Algorithm
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    Abstract:

    Wind speed prediction is a key factor for wind farm planning and the operational planning of power grids; accurate forecasting of wind speed can minimize the scheduling errors and in turn increase the reliability of the electric power grid and reduce the power market ancillary service costs. Based on the mesoscale model WRF(Weather Research and Forcasting) for wind speed forecasting, combined with model prediction and statistical analysis using an intelligent optimization algorithm we have greatly improved the forecasting precision of wind speed, employing a new method to correct the model errors. In view of the climatic feature of Chinese wind farms, the wind speed prediction program in China has been enhanced.

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林万涛,王建州,张文煜,郭振海,迟德中,张宇.2012.基于数值模拟和统计分析及智能优化的风速预报系统[J].气候与环境研究,17(5):646-658. LIN Wantao, WANG Jianzhou, ZHANG Wenyu, GUO Zhenhai, CHI Dezhong, ZHANG Yu.2012. Program of Wind Speed Prediction Based on Numerical Simulation with Intelligent Optimization Algorithm[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese],17(5):646-658.

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History
  • Received:May 15,2012
  • Revised:August 06,2012
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 20,2012
  • Published: